オーストラリア消費者のインフレ期待

イギリス貿易収支

イギリス建設成果前年同期比

イギリス鉱工業生産前年比

Australia's 10-year government bond yield held steady at around 3.9% following comments from RBA’s Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter. Hunter noted that elevated interest rates are dampening demand, contributing to expectations of a mild economic slowdown. She also pointed out that the labor market remains tight relative to full employment levels, with employment growth likely to continue but at a slower pace than population growth. The labor market outlook is a key factor behind the RBA's hawkish stance, despite emerging signs of a slowing economy. In economic news, recent data showed that consumer confidence in Australia sank in September and business sentiment fell to a nine-month low in August.

Australia 10-Year Yield Muted After Hunter Remarks

Gold steadied near $2,520 per ounce on Wednesday as markets braced for the US inflation report later in the day for clarity on the potential extent of the Federal Reserve’s rate cut. The jobs report last week provided limited insights following a mixed report, with the US economy adding fewer jobs than expected, while the unemployment rate edged lower. The annual inflation rate in the US is forecasted to slow for a fifth consecutive month to 2.6% in August, down from 2.9% in July, while the monthly inflation rate is estimated to remain unchanged at 0.2%. Markets now anticipate a 67% chance of a 25 bps cut at next week’s Fed meeting, with a 33% chance of a 50 bps reduction, as per the CME FedWatch tool. Less restrictive monetary policy benefits gold by reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing bullion assets. Traders also closely watched the first debate between US presidential candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in anticipation of the November election.

Gold Flat Ahead of US Inflation Report

Hong Kong's stocks tumbled near 200 points or 1.1% to 17,042 in early deals on Wednesday after closing slightly higher the day before, dragged by widespread losses from all sector. The Hang Seng retreated to its lowest level in nearly five weeks as Chinese equities were on the verge of falling to a seven-month low, amid uncertain economic recovery in the mainland as domestic demand remained persistently weak, underlined by sluggish imports in August. Meanwhile, US futures plunged ahead of a US inflation report and as traders intensely watched the presidential debate between VP Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump.

Hong Kong Shares Under Pressure in Early Trade

The Japanese yen appreciated past 142 per dollar, marching towards its highest levels this year amid diverging monetary policies between Japan and the US. Bank of Japan board member Junko Nakagawa said that the central bank will continue raising interest rates if inflation moves in line with its outlook. She added that there the tight job market and continued increases in import prices present upside risks to inflation. Moreover, she noted that real interest rates remain deeply negative despite the July rate hike. In contrast, the US Federal Reserve is widely expected to start cutting rates this month, with Fed policymakers warning about rising risks to the labor market. On the data front, a private survey showed that manufacturing sentiment in Japan declined to a seven-month low in September amid concerns about soft Chinese demand.

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