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US stock futures fell on Friday amid rising geopolitical tensions, as reports emerged that President Donald Trump is weighing a potential military strike on Iran. The White House stated on Thursday that a final decision could come within the next two weeks, adding to investor unease amid the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran. Markets were also digesting the Federal Reserve’s latest policy stance after it held interest rates steady earlier this week. Fed Chair Jerome Powell adopted a cautious tone, citing heightened uncertainty due to geopolitical risks, Trump’s new tariffs, and their unclear impact on inflation. The Fed’s updated projections now signal two rate cuts in 2025, alongside weaker growth expectations and a slightly higher inflation outlook. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite remain modestly higher for the week, while the Dow Jones is slightly in the red.

US Futures Decline as Trump Considers Strike on Iran

Germany's federal and state government tax revenues grew 2.6% from a year earlier in May 2025, easing sharply from a 10.2% rise in the previous month, the finance ministry said on Friday. The tax growth also slowed compared with rises of 11.1% in March and 8.1% in February. Total tax revenue came in at EUR 62.8 billion (USD 72.05 billion) in May, according to the ministry's monthly report. Income and sales taxes increased, but there was no significant yearly growth in withholding tax on interest and capital gains for the first time since May 2023. For the first five months of 2025, tax revenue rose 8.3% year-on-year to EUR 349 billion. Income tax growth is expected to ease in 2025, as wage increases agreed in collective bargaining deals are increasingly included in the basis for comparison, and the labor market also remains subdued.

German Tax Revenue Growth Eases Sharply in May

Japan’s core consumer price index, which excludes fresh food but includes energy, rose 3.7% year-on-year in May 2025, accelerating for the third straight month to the highest level since January 2023.  The figure also topped market expectations of a 3.6% increase, reinforcing expectations that the Bank of Japan may further tighten monetary policy to address persistent inflationary pressures. Earlier this week, the BOJ left its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.5%, but noted in its policy statement that businesses continue to pass wage increases onto prices, supporting elevated core inflation. Governor Kazuo Ueda reiterated the central bank’s commitment to closely monitoring both domestic and international conditions, signaling that additional rate hikes remain on the table if inflation persists.

Japan Core Inflation Climbs to Highest Level Since January 2023

The GfK Consumer Confidence Index for the United Kingdom increased by 2 points to -18 in June 2025, marking its second consecutive monthly gain after readings of -23 in April and -20 in May. The improvement was driven by a more optimistic view of the broader economy, although overall sentiment remains cautious amid ongoing global tariff disputes and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Subindexes related to the economy and its future outlook showed gains, while assessments of personal finances held steady. Neil Bellamy, Consumer Insights Director at GfK, noted that the boost was “driven by improvements in how consumers see the economy.” Still, he cautioned that rising oil prices due to Middle East conflict and persistent tariff tensions continue to weigh on sentiment.

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