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Brent crude oil futures surged 4.4% to settle at $76.4 per barrel on Tuesday as escalating tensions between the US and Iran reignited supply concerns. US President Donald Trump demanded Iran’s “unconditional surrender” and directly threatened Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, calling him “an easy target” in a series of social media posts. The gains reversed Monday’s losses, which were driven by hopes of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel. Despite the latest escalation, the oil market has remained relatively stable, supported by strong global supply, including rising OPEC+ output and record-high US production. Analysts note that while Israel has targeted Iranian energy sites, it has avoided disrupting oil export infrastructure, easing immediate fears of a global supply shock. However, any attempt by Iran to block the Strait of Hormuz, a key chokepoint for global oil shipments, could send prices soaring past $100, according to Goldman Sachs.

Brent Crude Soars Over 4% on Geopolitical Tensions

WTI crude oil futures rallied 4.3% to settle at 74.8 per barrel on Tuesday, as escalating tensions between the US and Iran reignited supply concerns. US President Donald Trump demanded Iran’s “unconditional surrender” and directly threatened Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, calling him “an easy target” in a series of social media posts. The gains reversed Monday’s losses, which were driven by hopes of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel. Despite the latest escalation, the oil market has remained relatively stable, supported by strong global supply, including rising OPEC+ output and record-high US production. Analysts note that while Israel has targeted Iranian energy sites, it has avoided disrupting oil export infrastructure, easing immediate fears of a global supply shock. However, any attempt by Iran to block the Strait of Hormuz, a key chokepoint for global oil shipments, could send prices soaring past $100, according to Goldman Sachs.

Oil Surges as US-Iran Tensions Flare

Stocks in the US dropped on Tuesday as intensifying Middle East tensions and weak economic data dampened investor sentiment. The S&P 500 fell 0.8%, the Dow lost 300 points and the Nasdaq dropped 0.9%, amid growing fears that the US could become directly involved in the Israel-Iran conflict. President Trump intensified his rhetoric, demanding Iran’s “unconditional surrender” and warning of a potential strike against Supreme Leader Khamenei in a series of Truth Social posts. At the same time, disappointing US retail sales, which dropped 0.9% in May, signaled a slowing consumer that tariffs may be having a growing impact in the economy. In corporate news, T-Mobile shares slid 4% after SoftBank offloaded part of its stake to fund investments in AI. Conversely, ExxonMobil and Chevron gained over 2%, tracking a more than 3% rise in oil prices. Verve Therapeutics shares surged 79% to $11.30 after Eli Lilly announced plans to acquire the company for $10.50 per share.

Wall Street Falls Amid Israel-Iran Tensions, Economic Woes

Heating oil futures climbed toward $2.48 per gallon, the highest since mid-February, as surging crude-oil feedstock costs amid the Iran–Israel flare-up drove input expenses sharply higher. US Gulf Coast refiners are paying steep premiums for light-sweet crudes following renewed strikes near Tehran and President Trump’s evacuation order, compressing distillate margins. At the same time, distillate inventories have fallen to multi-year lows, US heating-oil stocks hit their lowest seasonal level since 2014, even as refineries run near capacity to satisfy robust diesel and marine-fuel demand. Meanwhile tanker freight and insurance premiums have surged on Gulf war-risk fears, further lifting delivered costs. On the demand side, strong North American diesel consumption and a rebound in European industrial activity, despite mild spring weather, have absorbed the limited distillate supply, keeping heating-oil prices firmly elevated.

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