アメリカFRB総裁の講演

アメリカジェファーソン連銀のスピーチ

アメリカFRBウィリアムズ演説

フランス3か月のBTFオークション

India's BSE Sensex closed about 0.3% down at 82,059.4 on Monday, extending its decline for a second day amid profit-taking on higher levels and sectoral losses in technology and energy. The broader market mood remained cautious, influenced by a US credit rating downgrade, subdued Chinese economic data, and a more confrontational tone on tariffs from the US.

Sensex Sees 2nd Day of Losses

The Euro Area economy is projected to grow by 0.9% in 2025 and 1.4% in 2026, down from 1.3% and 1.6% respectively forecasted last autumn, according to the European Commission’s Spring outlook. The downgrade is primarily attributed to the impact of rising tariffs and increased uncertainty stemming from recent abrupt shifts in US trade policy. On the inflation front, disinflation is now expected to proceed more rapidly than previously anticipated. Inflation in the Eurozone is projected to ease to 2.1% by mid-2025, reaching the ECB’s target earlier than previously expected, and to decline further to 1.7% in 2026, down from the 1.9% projected in the autumn. For Germany, the bloc’s largest economy, the Commission expects economic activity to broadly stagnate in 2025. Heightened trade tensions are set to weigh heavily on exports, though private consumption is expected to rise modestly. Investment is likely to remain flat this year. However, growth is expected to rebound to 1.1% in 2026.

European Commission Lowers Growth Forecasts

UK natural gas futures are trading around 83.5 pence per therm as traders assess evolving supply-demand dynamics and geopolitical developments. Cooler-than-normal temperatures are forecast for northwest Europe from May 22, likely increasing heating demand. At the same time, Norwegian gas exports are set to decline due to early maintenance at the Kollsnes processing plant, with further reductions expected through May 21–22. These supply concerns are particularly significant for the UK, which has limited gas storage capacity and depends heavily on imports from continental Europe. On the geopolitical front, markets are closely watching an upcoming conversation between President Trump and Russian President Putin. Hopes for a peace agreement in Ukraine could raise the possibility of Russian gas returning to Europe.

UK Gas Futures Climb on Supply Risks and Cooling Weather

Bulgaria posted a current account deficit of €776.2 million in March 2025, sharply widening from €142.2 million in the same month a year earlier. This marks the largest monthly shortfall since December 2008, mainly driven by a significant increase in the goods trade deficit, which rose to €819.2 million from €257.9 million in March 2024. At the same time, the primary income deficit widened to €523.2 million from €437.2 million, while the services surplus narrowed to €458.7 million from €497.9 million. On a positive note, the secondary income surplus—which includes remittances and other current transfers—increased to €107.5 million from €55.1 million, offering some partial offset to the overall shortfall.

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