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The British pound eased toward $1.35 after hitting a three-year high of $1.363, as escalating Middle East tensions drove investors toward safe-haven assets amid fears of a wider conflict. Overnight, Israel struck Iran’s nuclear sites and key personnel, calling the operation necessary to counter an existential threat. Iran responded with hundreds of drones and warned of further retaliation. Meanwhile, data showed UK GDP fell 0.3% month-over-month in April—worse than the expected 0.1% decline—partly due to a sharp drop in exports to the US following new tariffs. Signs of economic strain and softer labor demand, highlighted by Tuesday’s employment data, have increased market expectations that the Bank of England will cut interest rates more aggressively than anticipated. At the same time, the pound continues to benefit from broad dollar weakness amid renewed US tariff threats and signs of easing inflation in the US.

Pound Slides from 3-Year High as Middle East Tensions Weigh

The Swiss franc traded around 0.81 per USD, hovering near its highest levels since 2011, amid a broad flight to safety driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East. Israel has launched a wave of strikes against Iran, targeting its nuclear infrastructure and military installations, killing two senior commanders. The Israeli government has warned of further action, while Iran has vowed retaliation. In addition to geopolitical risk, several other factors have contributed to the franc’s strength which is up about 10% so far this year. These include uncertainty surrounding President Trump's trade policies and broad-based dollar weakness, triggered by cooler inflation data and growing concerns over the US economic and fiscal outlook. Domestically, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) may soon reintroduce negative interest rates. Markets widely anticipate that the SNB will cut its key rate next week with some analysts even suggesting a move back into negative territory.

Swiss Franc Close to 2011-Highs

Latvia’s current account posted a surplus of EUR 34 million in April 2025, reversing from a deficit of EUR 164 million in the same month of the previous year. This marked the first current account surplus of the year, as the primary income account shifted to a surplus of EUR 108 million from a shortfall of EUR 58 million a year ago. Additionally, the secondary income surplus widened to EUR 128 million from EUR 53 million, while the goods account gap narrowed to EUR 328 million from EUR 343 million. Meanwhile, the services account surplus decreased to EUR 127 million from EUR 184 million in the corresponding period of last year.

Latvia Current Account Shifts to Surplus

The Czech Republic’s current account surplus narrowed to CZK 14.4 billion in April 2025 from CZK 35.28 billion in the corresponding month of the previous year. Goods account surplus decreased to CZK 36.55 billion from CZK 45.61 billion in April 2024, while the services account surplus went down to CZK 5.44 billion from CZK 11.32 billion. In addition, the primary income shortfall widened to CZK 22.55 billion in April 2025 from CZK 21.51 billion a year earlier, while the secondary income account deficit increased significantly to CZK 50.36 billion from CZK 1.40 billion.

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