イギリス小売売上高前月比

イギリス小売売上高前年比

イギリス小売売上高（燃料前月比）

イギリス小売売上高前年比（燃料除く）

Silver eased to around $30.66 per ounce on Friday but remained on track for its third consecutive weekly rise, supported by softer underlying inflation in the US, which bolstered expectations of further Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year. Fed Governor Christopher Waller also indicated on Thursday that three or four rate reductions could still be possible if economic data weakens further. The potential for lower US rates could stimulate demand for commodities by boosting economic growth and weakening the dollar. However, despite the bullish momentum, silver prices stayed below the 12-year high of $35 reached in October, as concerns over uncertain demand from industrial uses linger. Specifically, overcapacity in China’s solar panel industry has prompted photovoltaic companies to join a government-led self-discipline program aimed at regulating supply, which may limit silver demand from the sector—its largest industrial user.

Silver Set for Third Consecutive Weekly Gain

Copper futures surged above $4.42 per pound on Friday, reaching a two-month high and on track for a second consecutive weekly gain. The metal has been buoyed by restocking efforts and falling inventories in China. The country’s refined copper imports soared to a 13-month high in December, while Shanghai inventories dropped significantly to 74,000 tons last month. Optimism surrounding aggressive economic support measures in China to boost consumption, coupled with expectations of further US interest rate cuts, has further strengthened the demand outlook for copper. On the supply side, Chile has revised its copper production forecast, now expecting 5.54 million tons by 2034, down from the previous projection of 6.34 million tons.

Copper Poised for Second Consecutive Weekly Gain

Malaysian palm oil futures fell around 1% to below MYR 4,200 per tonne, marking a fourth session of losses and hitting their lowest level since early October, pressured by weak demand from India. The country’s palm oil imports are expected to drop to a near five-year low in January due to cheaper rival edible oils, according to officials. The contracts are poised for their third weekly decline, losing nearly 6% so far, as cargo surveyors reported that Malaysia's palm oil shipments during January 1–15 likely fell by 15.5% to 23.7% from December levels. In Indonesia, the world's top producer, the government temporarily halted subsidies for palm oil biodiesel and replanting programs amid a reorganization at its palm oil fund agency. Still, upbeat Q4 GDP data and strong December industrial output and retail sales in key buyer China offered some support. Meanwhile, Malaysian palm oil inventories shrank for the third month in December, while output fell by 8.3% from the previous month.

Palm Oil Set to Log Third Straight Weekly Losses

China's population fell by 1.39 million to 1.408 billion in 2024, marking the third consecutive year of decline, following a 2.08 million drop in 2023, despite a slight increase in births. In 2024, the number of births reached 9.54 million, 520,000 more than the year before. However, it was the second-lowest number of births since the founding of the People’s Republic of China in 1949. The number of newborns has been steadily falling since the 1960s, except for a brief uptick in 2016 when the government relaxed its one-child policy. China had long been the most populous country, but decades of restrictive family planning policies, rising childcare costs, and changing social norms have significantly slowed its birth rate.

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