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Mexico’s gross fixed investment slumped 10.4% year-on-year in August 2025, more than market expectations of a 7.4% drop and after a downwardly revised 6.7% fall in July. It marked the 12th consecutive decline, as investment in construction fell 7.4% (the same as in July), and spending on machinery and equipment dropped 13.7% (vs -6%). On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, investment declined 2.7% after a downwardly revised 1.4% rise in July.

Mexico Investment Decline Deepens in August

The South African rand edged up to trade below 17.5 per USD after recently touching over one-month lows, supported by a rebound in gold prices and a broadly steady dollar. Investors remained focused on the outlook for interest rates, while assessing economic data. A fresh PMI survey showed South Africa's private sector contracted in October, marking the first decline in seven months. On the monetary policy front, the South African Reserve Bank is not anticipated to cut rates at its November meeting, as policymakers remain focused on bringing inflation expectations down to 3%. In July, the central bank signaled that it is implicitly aiming for inflation near the lower bound of its 3%-6% target range. South Africa’s annual inflation rate ticked up to 3.4% in September 2025 from 3.3% in August, but came slightly below market forecasts of 3.5%.

South African Rand Firms Slightly

The volume of mortgage applications in the US eased by 1.9% from the previous week in the final week of October, trimming the 7.1% surge in the previous wee, according to data compiled by the Mortgage Bankers Association. The downtick was consistent with a 1bps increase in benchmark mortgage rates, which resisted a sharper increase in long-term yields following hawkish signals by the Fed. Applications for a contract to refinance a mortgage, which are more sensitive to short-term changes in interest rates and their outlook, fell by 2.8%. In turn, applications for a mortgage to buy a new home fell by 0.7%.

US Mortgage Applications Inch Down

The average contract interest rate on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($806,500 or less) in the US edged up to 6.31% in the week ending October 31st, 2025, from 6.3% the previous period which was the lowest in more than a year, according to the MBA. Meanwhile, mortgage applications declined 1.9% after a 7.1% jump in the previous period, with refinance applications losing 2.8% and those to purchase a home falling 0.6%.

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