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The Westpac McDermott Miller Consumer Confidence Index in New Zealand edged lower to 90.9 in the third quarter of 2025 from 91.2 in the previous period, still remaining at historically weak levels. The decline reflects ongoing pressures on households as rising living costs and economic uncertainty weigh on sentiment. According to Westpac, the economy has hit a mid-year soft patch, with higher expenses limiting confidence even as borrowing costs ease. The survey also highlighted weakness in the job market and continued softness in house prices as key concerns. These factors, combined with cost-of-living challenges, suggest that consumer confidence in New Zealand remains fragile.

NZ Consumer Confidence Dips Amid Rising Costs

US crude oil inventories dropped by 3.42 million barrels in the week ending September 12, 2025, reversing the prior week’s 1.25 million-barrel build. The decline exceeded market expectations, which had forecast a smaller draw of 1.6 million barrels.

US Crude Oil Stocks Fall More Than Estimates

The Ibovespa rose 0.4% to close at 144,062 on Tuesday, extending record gains as the central bank’s Copom opened its policy meeting, the Selic is widely expected to be held at 15% on Wednesday. On the data front, Brazil’s unemployment rate fell to 5.6% in the quarter through July, the lowest in the series since 2012 and in line with the bottom of market forecasts, reinforcing the case for a cautious policy stance. In the US, markets are pricing a 25bp Fed cut at Wednesday’s decision, which underpinned a softer dollar and added external support to the real. Among stocks, BRF (5.1%), Marfrig (6.0%) and Lojas Renner (4.9%) led gains, while oil’s rise and lower future interest rates helped sustain the market’s advance.

Ibovespa Sets Fresh Record High

The S&P/TSX Composite slipped 0.4% to close at 29,400 on Tuesday as investors digested softer-than-expected inflation data ahead of the Bank of Canada’s policy decision tomorrow. Canada’s annual CPI rose to 1.9% in August from 1.7% in July—below the 2.0% consensus and marking the fifth consecutive month beneath the BoC’s 2% midpoint—while the trimmed-mean core CPI, the Bank’s preferred gauge of underlying inflation, eased to 3.0% in August from 3.1% in July, in line with forecasts. Markets still expect the BoC to begin easing but have trimmed bets on the extent of rate cuts through the remainder of 2025. Heavyweight miners were among the biggest laggards, led by Wheaton Precious Metals down 2.4%, and rate-sensitive tech and financials also traded firmly in the red. Meanwhile, rising oil prices for a third session provided some offset from energy producers.

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