アメリカNIESR 月間 GDP トラッカー

カナダ5年間のボンドオークション

日本前年比平均現金収入

日本残業代前年同期比

The Swiss franc traded around 0.81 per USD, remaining close to 2011-highs, supported by safe-haven demand and expectations of no imminent cuts by the Swiss National Bank. Investors weighed global uncertainties, with the US prolonged shutdown, the Fed's divided stance, lingering geopolitical risks and fears over high stock valuations among the major concerns. Meanwhile, softer-than-expected Swiss inflation data revived speculation of another rate cut, potentially pushing policy back below zero. However, SNB policymakers remain cautious, mindful of financial stability risks. SNB’s Tschudin said recently policy rates are “where they should be,” while Schlegel reiterated expectations of a mild pickup in inflation in the quarters ahead.

Swiss Franc Remains Firm

Total household debt in the US increased by $197 billion from the prior quarter to a new record high of $18.59 trillion in Q3 2025. Mortgage balances grew by $137 billion to $13.07 trillion, and credit card balances rose by $24 billion to $1.23 trillion. Home equity line of credit (HELOC) balances rose by $11 billion to $422 billion. Student loan balances rose by $15 billion to $1.65 trillion. Auto loan balances held steady at $1.66 trillion. The pace of mortgage originations increased, with $512 billion newly originated in the third quarter. “Household debt balances are growing at a moderate pace, with delinquency rates stabilizing,” said Donghoon Lee, Economic Research Advisor at the New York Fed. “The relatively low mortgage delinquency rates reflect the housing market’s resilience, driven by ample home equity and tight underwriting standards.”

US Household Debt Rises to New Record

US 10 Year Government Bond Yield increased to 4.16%, the highest since October 2025. Over the past 4 weeks, US 10 Year Note Bond Yield gained 0.20 basis points, and in the last 12 months, it decreased 28.10 basis points.

US 10Y Bond Yield Hits 4-week High

US heating oil futures climbed above $2.51 per gallon to July highs as tightening distillate balances outweighed a crude build. About 643 thousand barrels were drawn from US distillate stocks in the week ending October 31st, the fifth straight weekly decline and a level well below seasonal norms that has eroded the buffer refiners and distributors hold ahead of winter. For the same week US crude inventories rose roughly 5.2 million barrels, yet the added crude has not translated into more middle distillates because refinery runs and distillate yields have softened and net distillate production has trailed in recent weeks. Stronger export flows have compounded the squeeze by sending barrels abroad that might otherwise replenish domestic stocks. With colder weather lifting demand for heating oil and diesel, prompt physical balances and crack spreads have tightened and are supporting near term futures even as crude feedstock costs retreat.

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