アメリカ20年債券オークション

アメリカAPI原油在庫変動

ニュージーランドウエストパック消費者信頼感

ニュージーランド当座預金

US business inventories rose by 0.2% month-over-month in July 2025, matching June's pace and coming in line with market expectations. Manufacturers' inventories increased by 0.3%, while fore retailers they rose 0.2%, and merchant wholesalers inventories ticked up by 0.1%. On a yearly basis, total business inventories went up 1.5%, compared to the initial estimate of a 1.6% rise.

US Business Inventories Up for 2nd Month

The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) held steady at 32 in September 2025, the same as in August and June, and matching the lowest level since December 2022. The reading fell short of market expectations of 33, underscoring persistent weakness in the housing market. Current sales conditions remained steady at 35, while buyer traffic slipped one point to 21. In contrast, sales expectations for the next six months rose two points to 45. The latest HMI survey also highlighted deepening challenges: 39% of builders reported cutting home prices in September, up from 37% in August and marking the highest share since the Covid-19 pandemic. The average price reduction stood at 5%, a level unchanged since last November. Meanwhile, the use of sales incentives remained elevated at 65%, nearly steady from 66% in August.

US Homebuilder Confidence Flat in September

Brent crude oil futures rose 1% to $68 a barrel on Tuesday, extending their rally due to supply risks in Russia. Ukraine launched another refinery strike overnight, part of a broader campaign targeting Russian energy infrastructure, including the Primorsk export hub. Goldman Sachs estimates recent attacks have sidelined about 300,000 barrels per day of Russian refining capacity in August and early September. Reuters also reported pipeline operators are limiting storage for producers, adding to bottlenecks. Meanwhile, the EU is considering new sanctions, including those targeting firms in India and China that facilitate Moscow’s oil trade. On the macro front, attention is on the US Federal Reserve meeting this week, with a 25 bps rate cut expected. Easing policy would support US growth and, in turn, energy demand.

Brent Crude Oil Tops $68

The Serbian Dinar touched 99.01 against the USD, the highest since September 2021. Over the past 4 weeks, US Dollar Serbian Dinar lost 1.38%, and in the last 12 months, it decreased 5.88%.

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