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The annual inflation rate in the Philippines edged up to 1.4% in June 2025 from a more than five-year low of 1.3% in the previous month, although slightly below market expectations of 1.5%. The main upward pressure came from housing and utilities (3.2% vs 2.3% in May), clothing and footwear (1.7% vs 1.6%), furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance (2.1% vs 2.0%), education (5.4% vs 4.2%), and restaurants and accommodation services (2.1% vs 2.0%). In addition, deflation eased for transport (-1.6% vs -2.4%). On the other hand, prices moderated for food and non-alcoholic beverages (0.4% vs 0.9%) and personal care, miscellaneous goods and services (2.4% vs 2.5%). On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose 0.2% in June 2025, rebounding from a 0.1% fall in the previous month. Meanwhile, core inflation, which excludes certain food and energy items, remained unchanged for the third consecutive month at 2.2% in June 2025.

Philippines Inflation Rate Ticks Up

Brent crude oil futures edged up to $68.7 per barrel on Friday after the US took fresh steps to restrict the trade of Iranian oil, ratcheting up pressure on Tehran. On Thursday, the US Treasury and State departments announced separate sanctions against a network of entities and a “shadow fleet” of vessels involved in facilitating and exporting Iranian crude. However, gains were limited by expectations that OPEC+ will agree to bring back another 411,000 bpd in August when the group meets on Sunday. On the trade front, the recent US-Vietnam agreement offered some support to crude prices, but overall tariff uncertainty persists as major partners like the EU and Japan have yet to secure trade deals ahead of the July 9 tariff pause deadline. For the week, Brent crude is on track to post a gain of over 2%, rebounding from its sharpest weekly decline in more than two years.

Brent Edges Up on New Iran Sanctions

WTI crude oil futures edged up to $67 per barrel on Friday after the US took fresh steps to restrict the trade of Iranian oil, ratcheting up pressure on Tehran. On Thursday, the US Treasury and State departments announced separate sanctions against a network of entities and a “shadow fleet” of vessels involved in facilitating and exporting Iranian crude. However, gains were limited by expectations that OPEC+ will agree to bring back another 411,000 bpd in August when the group meets on Sunday. On the trade front, the recent US-Vietnam agreement offered some support to crude prices, but overall tariff uncertainty persists as major partners like the EU and Japan have yet to secure trade deals ahead of the July 9 tariff pause deadline. For the week, WTI crude is on track to post a gain of over 2%, rebounding from its sharpest weekly decline in more than two years.

Oil Edges Up on New Iran Sanctions

The S&P Global Hong Kong SAR PMI dropped to 47.8 in June 2025 from 49.0 in May, marking the lowest reading since March 2022 and the fifth consecutive month of contraction in private sector activity. Output fell at the sharpest pace in a year, while new orders shrank at the fastest rate in over three years. Sales to both mainland China and overseas also declined more rapidly. Firms reduced purchasing activity amid weaker production needs and worked through backlogs for a sixth straight month, even as staffing levels remained unchanged. Supplier delivery times lengthened slightly, ending a three-month run of improved performance. Input cost inflation eased to its slowest pace since January 2021, largely due to cooling wage pressures. However, selling prices were cut for the third time in four months to support demand. Business sentiment fell to its weakest level in nearly five years, weighed down by soft domestic demand, a subdued global outlook, and uncertainty around U.S. trade policy.

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