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The Canadian dollar weakened past C$1.40 per US dollar, slipping toward six-month lows as markets priced a near-certain 25bp Bank of Canada cut and Washington’s abrupt termination of trade talks raised the prospect of tariffs and weaker exports. That trade setback increases the likelihood that tariff and sectoral frictions will squeeze business investment and export revenues, depressing growth and nudging the BoC toward further easing to offset those effects. Markets now assign a high probability to a 25bp cut at next week’s meeting after a run of soft domestic activity and survey readings, which has pushed down expected Canadian short rates and narrowed the yield cushion versus the United States. At the same time US inflation printed slightly softer-than-expected readings for September, firming expectations for Fed easing.

Canadian Dollar Weakens Toward 6-Month Lows

Sugar futures eased to below 15 cents per pound, the lowest level since March 2021, extending the yearly decline to about 22%, supported by forecasts of a global surplus harvest, led by increased production in Brazil. Unica reported that sugar production in Brazil's Center-South region in the second half of September increased 10.8% compared to the same period last year, while the sugarcane mix for sugar rose to 51.17%, compared to 47.73% the previous year. Meanwhile, booming corn ethanol output is challenging sugar-cane ethanol in Brazil, reshaping the market and weighing on sugar prices. Favorable harvest prospects in India and Thailand, following abundant monsoon rains, combined with the expansion of plantations, also exerted downward pressure on prices
StoneX Group recently estimated that global production will exceed consumption by 2.8 million metric tons in the marketing year that began this month, marking a turnaround from last season’s shortfall.

Sugar Futures at 2021-Lows

Yields on Italy’s 10-year BTPs hovered around 3.4%, maintaining a one-and-a-half-week high as markets digested stronger-than-expected eurozone economic data. The region’s PMI climbed to its highest since May 2024, driven by expanding services activity and manufacturing returning to the neutral 50 mark. This prompted investors to slightly scale back expectations for ECB easing next year. In the US, softer-than-expected inflation readings further bolstered bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. On the domestic front, Italy’s cabinet approved the 2026 budget earlier this month, outlining €18.7 billion in tax cuts and support measures. The plan, now heading for parliamentary debate and year-end approval, targets a public deficit of 2.8% of GDP, in line with the EU’s 3% fiscal ceiling.

Italy 10-Year BTP Yield Holds at 1.5-Week High

Lumber decreased to 584.00 USD/1000 board feet, the lowest since September 2025. Over the past 4 weeks, Lumber lost 0.24%, and in the last 12 months, it increased 10.82%.

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最新ニュース

Canadian Dollar Weakens Toward 6-Month Lows

Sugar Futures at 2021-Lows

Italy 10-Year BTP Yield Holds at 1.5-Week High

Lumber Hits 4-week Low

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