スイス失業率

ドイツ工場受注前月比

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China is set to introduce nationwide cash subsidies to boost childbirth amid a persistent population decline that poses long-term economic risks, Bloomberg News reported Friday. Under the proposed policy, families would receive CNY 3,600 annually for each child born on or after January 1, 2025, continuing until the child turns three. Though not yet officially announced, the move signals Beijing’s growing urgency to tackle demographic challenges. Despite ending the one-child policy nearly a decade ago, the country’s birthrate has continued to fall, with only 9.54 million births recorded in 2023—nearly half the 2016 total. Local governments reportedly have already begun offering incentives, including housing subsidies and lump-sum payments.

China Offers Subsidies to Boost Birthrate, Spur Growth

The South Korean won weakened to around 1,365 per dollar on Friday, extending its downward trend as it tracked broader dollar strength following a stronger-than-expected US nonfarm payrolls report which reduced expectations for Fed rate cuts. While South Korea posted a solid current account surplus of $10.14 billion in May, fundamentally supportive of the won, it was outweighed by global USD strength. On the trade front, uncertainty continues to weigh on sentiment ahead of the July 9 US tariff deadline. Trade Minister Yeo is scheduled to visit Washington this weekend in a last-minute push to secure an extension of the current three-month pause. The outcome of the talks is critical, as it could impact key exports and add further pressure on the KRW.

South Korean Won Falls on Dollar Strength

President Donald Trump said Thursday he plans to send letters to countries starting Friday, July 4, informing them of the tariffs they must pay to sell goods in the U.S., bypassing the process of negotiating individual trade deals. “My inclination is to send a letter out saying what tariff they’re going to be paying,” he said, calling it “much easier.” The move comes ahead of a July 9 deadline to reimpose broad tariffs, after a 90-day pause initiated in April. Trump has since struck deals with Vietnam and the UK, and outlined a framework with China. He aims for a base 10% tariff, with higher rates for countries running trade deficits with the U.S. However, he ruled out extending the deadline, citing the difficulty of negotiating with over 170 countries. “How many deals can you make?” he said. Trump criticized negotiations that focus on specific goods like beef or ethanol, saying he prefers flat tariffs of 20%, 25%, or 30%, adding, “This is what you’re going to pay.”

Trump Plans Tariff Letters, Ditches Complex Deals

The Japanese yen traded near 145 per dollar on Friday after falling nearly 1% in the previous session, weighed down by trade-related uncertainties despite Tokyo’s efforts to secure a deal with Washington ahead of next week’s deadline. US President Donald Trump announced plans to begin sending formal letters on trade tariffs as early as today, potentially signaling new tariff rates or extensions of existing deadlines. He has previously threatened to raise tariffs on Japanese goods to as much as 35%, citing Japan’s limited imports of American rice and automobiles. Adding to the yen’s weakness, the US dollar strengthened following a stronger-than-expected June jobs report, which eased recession fears and reduced expectations of imminent rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. On the domestic front, data showed that household spending in Japan rebounded more than anticipated in May, supported by government measures to stimulate consumption.

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