ニュージーランドグローバル酪農貿易価格指数

カナダ住宅着工件数

カナダCPIトリミング-平均前年比

カナダコアインフレ率前月比

Arabica coffee futures traded around $4.22 per pound, remaining close to a seven-month high of $4.27 per pound scaled on September 15, due to concerns about limited supply and trade tensions. The lack of rain in Brazil's coffee-growing regions ahead of the critical flowering period for coffee trees is also pushing coffee prices sharply higher. At the same time, dealers said the market was supported by fund buying against the backdrop of tight supplies in the US after the impositions of a 50% tariff on shipments from Brazil.

Arabica Coffee Futures Stay Near 7-Month Highs

India's BSE Sensex closed about 0.7% firmer at 82,381 on Tuesday, a level not seen since July 23, reversing yesterday's decline. Gains were broad-based, supported by optimism over US-India trade negotiations and expectations of an imminent US Federal Reserve rate cut. India and US chief negotiators are meeting today to discuss progress on the proposed bilateral trade agreement, while a fully priced-in 25 bps Fed cut on Wednesday may attract foreign portfolio inflows.

Sensex Ends on Higher Note

France’s 10-year government bond yield climbed to 3.49%, tracking gains across European peers after investor sentiment in Germany and the broader Eurozone unexpectedly improved. Markets are bracing for a busy week of central bank activity. The US Federal Reserve is widely expected to resume its easing cycle, with at least a 25-basis-point rate cut anticipated following a nine-month pause. Meanwhile, the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan are expected to keep borrowing costs unchanged. Recent European data point to steady growth with manageable risks, while the ECB signals that its rate-cutting phase may be coming to an end. Domestically, investors appeared largely unfazed by Fitch’s sovereign credit rating downgrade over the weekend.

France 10-Year Bond Yield Rises as Investors Eye Fed Meeting

The Indian rupee remained weaker than 88 per USD, continuously resting record lows of 88.4 since the start of September on the outlook of limited foreign exchange inflows and a dovish RBI. The US maintained its 50% tariff on India and threatened to double the current rate, pleading G7 countries to join, as India continued to import oil and fuels from Russia. This was after PM Modi pushed back and stated that Indian firms buy the most favorable energy in an uncertain economic backdrop. On the monetary policy front, consumer inflation was at 2.1% in August, remaining close to the lower bound of the RBI's inflation tolerance band of 2%. The central bank held rates unchanged in its August meeting and is largely expected to hold on their upcoming October meeting, but the softer inflationary backdrop and growth concerns stemmed from trade restrictions supported the case for another cut this year or next.

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