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Ireland’s economy grew by 7.4% quarter-on-quarter in Q1 2025, falling short of the second estimate of 9.7%, but accelerating sharply from a revised 4.5% expansion in the previous quarter. Despite the downward revision, it marked the fastest pace of growth since Q1 2021, driven largely by a surge in exports as multinational firms front-loaded shipments ahead of new US tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump. The expansion was concentrated in multinational-dominated sectors, with output from foreign-based companies rising 13.6%. The globalized industry sector jumped 16.5%, while growth in information and communication was modest at 0.5%. In contrast, the domestic economy grew by a more moderate 2.0%, supported by a 49.1% spike in capital investment. Personal consumption edged up just 0.3%, and government spending fell by 1.3%. Meanwhile, GNP declined by 7.2%, a steeper drop than the earlier estimate of 2.1%.

Irish GDP Surges in Q1 2025

India's BSE Sensex closed about 0.3% up at 83,712.5 on Tuesday, driven by gains in heavyweight financial and banking sector stocks. Sentiment remained cautiously optimistic about a potential deal, but investors awaited definitive progress on the India–US trade agreement. On Monday, the Trump administration began sending formal notifications outlining new tariffs on products imported into the US from a number of nations. India is one country that may reach a deal with the US before the deadline, averting Trump’s 27% “reciprocal” tariff rate. Among the Sensex constituents, 18 out of 30 stocks ended higher. Kotak Mahindra Bank topped the index with a gain of over 3% after it reported robust June quarter deposit and loan growth. Eternal, Asian Paints, NTPC, Bharat Electronics, and Adani Ports were also among the notable performers. On the opposite side, Titan sank more than 6%, its sharpest drop in 14 months, following disappointing June-quarter sales.

Sensex Ends Slightly Higher

The annual inflation rate in Latvia rose to 3.8% in June 2025 from 3.6% in the previous month, driven by stronger price gains in housing and utilities (3.3% vs 3.2% in May), healthcare (3.9% vs 3.7%), clothing and footwear (1.4% vs 0.7%), and miscellaneous goods and services (4.0% vs 0.7%). Meanwhile, the pace of price decline eased in transport (-1.3% vs -4.2%). However, these upticks were partially offset by slower price increases in food and non-alcoholic beverages (6.3% vs 7.5%), alcoholic beverages and tobacco (6.5% vs 7.3%), and recreation and culture (4.6% vs 5.2%). On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose 0.1%, reversing a 0.1% decline in May.

Latvia Inflation Rate Edges Up to 3.8% in June

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index in the US came in at 98.6 in June 2025, below 98.8 in May and forecasts of 98.7, but holding slightly above the 51-year average of 98. A substantial increase in respondents reporting excess inventories contributed the most to the decline in the index. 19% of small business owners reported taxes as their single most important problem, up one point from May and ranking as the top problem again. The last time taxes reached 19 percent was in July 2021. In addition, many others are still concerned about labor quality and high labor costs. The net percent of owners expecting better business conditions fell three points to 22%. The net percent of owners expecting higher real sales volumes fell three points to 7% and 21% plan capital outlays in the next six months, down one point from May. Meanwhile, the Uncertainty Index decreased by five points to 89.

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