The Central Bank of Paraguay left its policy interest rate at 6% during its October meeting. The committee noted global developments, including a modest rise in US inflation to 3.0% and slower job growth, alongside expectations of further Federal Reserve rate reductions. Internationally, oil prices continued to decline amid projections of an oversupply for 2026 and lower geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, while agricultural commodities showed mixed trends, with corn and wheat falling and soybean prices rising. Domestically, the economy grew steadily, with the Monthly Economic Activity Indicator up 4.5% in August, supported by services, manufacturing, agriculture and electricity and water. Inflation remained low, with the annual inflation at 4.3%, while expectations held at 3.7% for the next 12 months. The CPM reaffirmed its commitment to price stability and will continue monitoring domestic and global developments to ensure inflation remains aligned with the 3.5% policy goal.

Paraguay Maintains Interest Rate at 6%

Next week will host major monetary policy decisions, with Federal Reserve’s FOMC will head into its meeting without its usual data due to the US government shutdown. Rate decisions are also awaited by the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan, and the Bank of Canada. Uncertainty around US economic releases due to the government shutdown will be offset by important earnings results including Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, Meta, Amazon, Visa, Mastercard, UnitedHealth, NextEra, Eli Lilly, AbbVie, Exxon Mobil, and Chevron. Attention will also be on the meeting between US and Chinese Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping for developments on trade and other affairs between the world’s two largest economies. Elsewhere, GDP figures are due from the Eurozone and its main members, Mexico, and South Korea, while monthly figures are due from Canada. Also, China will release its PMI data. Additionally, an inflation print is due from Australia and the Eurozone.

Week Ahead - Oct 27th

The 10-year Canadian government yield slipped toward 3.07%, nearing six-month lows as markets moved to price in greater odds of monetary easing on both sides of the border. In Canada, markets priced a near-certain 25bp Bank of Canada cut and Washington’s abrupt termination of trade talks raised the prospect of tariffs and weaker exports, increasing the likelihood that tariff and sectoral frictions will squeeze business investment and export revenues, depressing growth and nudging the BoC toward further easing to offset those effects. Markets now assign a high probability to a 25bp cut at the October 29th meeting after a run of soft domestic activity and survey readings. In the United States, a softer-than-expected inflation print firmed market bets that the Federal Reserve will cut rates again this year and sent Treasury yields down.

Canada 10-Year Bond Yield Falls Near 6-Month Lows

Albania’s trade deficit widened to ALL 48 billion in September 2025 from ALL 41 billion a year earlier, as exports fell 10.7% year-on-year to ALL 27.2 billion, while imports rose 5.6% to ALL 75.0 billion.

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最新ニュース

Paraguay Maintains Interest Rate at 6%

Week Ahead - Oct 27th

Canada 10-Year Bond Yield Falls Near 6-Month Lows

Albania Trade Deficit Widens in September