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US natural gas futures fell 5% to below $3.2/MMBtu on Wednesday, the lowest in six weeks, due to rising supply and strong storage levels. Output in the Lower 48 states averaged 106.7 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) in July, up from June’s record of 106.4 bcfd. Gas in storage remains about 6% above the five-year average, with analysts expecting another above-average weekly build—the 11th in 12 weeks. Despite this surplus, demand remains strong due to forecasts of hotter-than-normal weather through late July, pushing up power usage for air conditioning. LNG exports also increased, with average gas flows to the eight major U.S. export facilities reaching 15.6 bcfd, as plants recover from maintenance and unplanned outages.

US Natgas Prices Fall to 6-Week Low

Natural gas decreased 5% to 3.1816 USD/MMBtu

Natural gas is down by 5%

Heating oil futures retreated toward $2.40 per gallon after peaking at a two-week high of $2.43 on July 8th, as an unexpected swell in both crude and middle-distillate inventories undercut the feedstock costs. US crude stocks climbed by 7.07 million barrels, the largest build since January, in the week to July 4th, while distillate inventories saw last week’s 1.71 million-barrel draw shrink to 825,000 barrels, and heating oil stocks swung from a 202,000-barrel draw to a 603,000-barrel build. However, crude oil prices have held to its recent rebound limiting heating oil’s decline. With refiners diverting more barrels into storage, unseasonably warm forecasts softening summer consumption, and ample global supply weighing on feedstock costs, these converging forces have decisively driven heating oil prices lower.

Heating Oil Eases from 2-Week Highs

Crude oil inventories in the US rose by 7.070 million barrels in the week ended July 4, 2025, the biggest rise since January, according to data from the EIA Petroleum Status Report. Also, stocks in the Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery hub went down by 464 thousand barrels. Among refined fuels, gasoline stocks fell by 2.658 million barrels while stocks of distillate fuels decreased by 825 thousand barrels.

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