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US stock futures were flat on Monday as easing US-China trade tensions offered some relief, with investors turning their focus to major earnings reports and key inflation data later this week. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng are set to meet in coming days to help defuse tensions, ahead of a potential meeting between Presidents Trump and Xi later this month. Attention will also center on quarterly results from Netflix, Coca-Cola, Tesla, IBM, and Intel, as the ongoing data blackout from the government shutdown pushes markets to seek corporate signals. Meanwhile, the September CPI report due Friday is expected to show inflation remains elevated. Last week, major indexes swung sharply amid renewed trade worries, stress in regional banks, and profit-taking in AI-related shares.

US Futures Steady to Start the Week

DBRS Morningstar upgraded Italy’s credit rating to ‘A (low)’ from ‘BBB (high)’ on Friday, supported by improvements that have resulted in a more resilient economy and expectations that fiscal consolidation will help stabilize the public debt ratio. However, the agency said Italy’s credit ratings remain constrained by a very high level of public debt, a large and rising interest burden, and potentially weak GDP growth. Italy’s public debt is projected by the Treasury to rise to 136.2% of GDP this year, up from 134.9% in 2024, and to climb further to 137.4% in 2026 before stabilizing the following year. Italy’s GDP contracted by 0.1% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) in Q2 of 2025, and the government this month trimmed its growth estimates for this year and next to 0.5% and 0.7%, respectively, due to the impact of US trade tariffs. Standard & Poor's credit rating for Italy stands at BBB+ with a stable outlook. Moody's credit rating for Italy was last set at Baa3 with a positive outlook.

DBRS Upgrades Italy’s Credit Rating to A

France has banned cattle exports and suspended events involving cattle, including bullfighting, to curb the spread of lumpy skin disease, the agriculture ministry announced Friday. The viral disease, transmitted by insects, affects cattle and buffalo, causing blisters and reduced milk production. While harmless to humans, it can trigger trade restrictions and heavy economic losses. The measures, which mark France’s first outbreak of the disease, will take effect on October 18 and remain in place until November 4, with the government saying they could be lifted on November 5 if the situation improves.

France Suspends Cattle Exports Amid Disease Outbreak

World Trade Organization chief Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala urged the U.S. and China to de-escalate trade tensions, warning that a decoupling between the world’s two largest economies could cut global economic output by 7% in the long term. Speaking to Reuters, she said the WTO is “extremely concerned” about the renewed spike in tensions and has engaged with both sides to encourage dialogue. “We’re obviously worried at any escalation of U.S.-China tensions,” she said, expressing hope that both nations would again step back from further tariff actions as they did earlier this year. Okonjo-Iweala emphasized that U.S.-China cooperation is vital not only for their economies but for global stability. The WTO recently cut its 2026 forecast for global trade growth to 0.5% from 1.8%, citing delayed effects from U.S. tariffs, while raising its 2025 forecast to 2.4%.

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