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Australia’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate stood at 4.2% in August 2025, unchanged from the previous month and in line with market expectations. The number of unemployed people fell by 900, bringing the total to 647,400. Meanwhile, employment unexpectedly declined by 5,400 to 14.63 million, missing forecasts of a 22,000 increase. Full-time employment decreased by 40,900 to 10.08 million, while part-time employment increased by 35,500 to 4.55 million.

Australia Jobless Rate Holds Steady at 4.2%

Brent crude oil futures fell below $67 per barrel on Thursday, extending losses from the previous session, as traders continued to assess US stockpile data and a Federal Reserve rate cut. EIA data showed that crude inventories dropped by 9.3 million barrels last week, driven by a sharp rise in exports. However, a surge in the adjustment factor and distillate stocks climbing to their highest since January gave the report a bearish tone. Meanwhile, the US central bank cut interest rates by a quarter point as expected and signaled further reductions to support a softening job market. Yet, despite the dovish pivot, markets are watchful, as this could also indicate growing economic risks for a key oil consumer. Investors also continued to monitor concerns over Russian oil supply, as Ukraine recently ramped up strikes on energy facilities. Reports indicated that Transneft had warned producers of potential output cuts, though the company later dismissed the claims as misinformation.

Brent Extends Losses

WTI crude oil futures fell below $64 per barrel on Thursday, extending losses from the previous session, as traders continued to assess US stockpile data and a Federal Reserve rate cut. EIA data showed that crude inventories dropped by 9.3 million barrels last week, driven by a sharp rise in exports. However, a surge in the adjustment factor and distillate stocks climbing to their highest since January gave the report a bearish tone. Meanwhile, the US central bank cut interest rates by a quarter point as expected and signaled further reductions to support a softening job market. Yet, despite the dovish pivot, markets are watchful, as this could also indicate growing economic risks for a key oil consumer. Investors also continued to monitor concerns over Russian oil supply, as Ukraine recently ramped up strikes on energy facilities. Reports indicated that Transneft had warned producers of potential output cuts, though the company later dismissed the claims as misinformation.

Oil Extends Losses

The S&P/ASX 200 dropped 0.9% to around 8,740 on Thursday, extending losses to a two-week low as investors turned cautious ahead of a crucial jobs report that could guide the RBA’s policy outlook. Australia’s August jobs report is expected to show 22K new positions, with the unemployment rate steady at 4.2% and participation unchanged at 67%. Markets see the central bank taking a cautious approach to easing at its September 29–30 meeting, with swaps showing minimal odds of a September cut and November bets trimmed to 70%. Meanwhile, the US Federal Reserve cut rates as expected on Wednesday, but sentiment stayed muted as investors digested updated economic projections. Chair Powell called it a ‘risk management cut,’ with the dot plot signaling two more cuts this year. Back in Sydney, energy stocks led the decline, slipping 5.4% to their lowest since June 13, with Santos plunging 13.6% after ADNOC withdrew its $18.7B bid, while Woodside dropped 4.6% as weaker oil prices added pressure.

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