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Brent crude oil futures edged up to $68.7 per barrel on Friday after the US took fresh steps to restrict the trade of Iranian oil, ratcheting up pressure on Tehran. On Thursday, the US Treasury and State departments announced separate sanctions against a network of entities and a “shadow fleet” of vessels involved in facilitating and exporting Iranian crude. However, gains were limited by expectations that OPEC+ will agree to bring back another 411,000 bpd in August when the group meets on Sunday. On the trade front, the recent US-Vietnam agreement offered some support to crude prices, but overall tariff uncertainty persists as major partners like the EU and Japan have yet to secure trade deals ahead of the July 9 tariff pause deadline. For the week, Brent crude is on track to post a gain of over 2%, rebounding from its sharpest weekly decline in more than two years.

Brent Edges Up on New Iran Sanctions

WTI crude oil futures edged up to $67 per barrel on Friday after the US took fresh steps to restrict the trade of Iranian oil, ratcheting up pressure on Tehran. On Thursday, the US Treasury and State departments announced separate sanctions against a network of entities and a “shadow fleet” of vessels involved in facilitating and exporting Iranian crude. However, gains were limited by expectations that OPEC+ will agree to bring back another 411,000 bpd in August when the group meets on Sunday. On the trade front, the recent US-Vietnam agreement offered some support to crude prices, but overall tariff uncertainty persists as major partners like the EU and Japan have yet to secure trade deals ahead of the July 9 tariff pause deadline. For the week, WTI crude is on track to post a gain of over 2%, rebounding from its sharpest weekly decline in more than two years.

Oil Edges Up on New Iran Sanctions

The S&P Global Hong Kong SAR PMI dropped to 47.8 in June 2025 from 49.0 in May, marking the lowest reading since March 2022 and the fifth consecutive month of contraction in private sector activity. Output fell at the sharpest pace in a year, while new orders shrank at the fastest rate in over three years. Sales to both mainland China and overseas also declined more rapidly. Firms reduced purchasing activity amid weaker production needs and worked through backlogs for a sixth straight month, even as staffing levels remained unchanged. Supplier delivery times lengthened slightly, ending a three-month run of improved performance. Input cost inflation eased to its slowest pace since January 2021, largely due to cooling wage pressures. However, selling prices were cut for the third time in four months to support demand. Business sentiment fell to its weakest level in nearly five years, weighed down by soft domestic demand, a subdued global outlook, and uncertainty around U.S. trade policy.

Hong Kong Private Sector PMI Lowest in Over 3 Years

The US dollar index held above 97 on Friday after rising for two straight sessions, as a stronger-than-expected June jobs report eased concerns over an economic slowdown and reduced pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. The US economy added 147,000 jobs in June, up from 144,000 in May and well above market expectations of 110,000. At the same time, the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 4.1%, defying forecasts of an uptick to 4.3%. On the trade front, President Donald Trump is reportedly preparing to announce new tariff rates or a possible extension of the July 9 deadline for targeted countries, providing additional support to markets. Meanwhile, the House of Representatives passed Trump’s sweeping tax cuts and spending package, which now heads to the White House for his signature. The bill is projected to widen the federal budget deficit by over $3 trillion.

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