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France’s 10-year government bond yield pushed further above 3.5%, hitting its highest level since early September, after Fitch Ratings downgraded the country’s sovereign credit. The agency cut France’s rating to A+ from AA-, its lowest on record, citing political instability and mounting debt. The move comes just days after President Emmanuel Macron appointed Sébastien Lecornu as his fifth prime minister in two years. Lecornu now faces the immediate task of presenting a draft of the 2026 budget to parliament by October 7, with a possible extension until October 13.

France’s Bond Yields Climb After Fitch Downgrade

India’s wholesale prices increased by 0.52% year-on-year (YoY) in August 2025, surpassing market forecasts of a 0.30% rise and recovering from a 0.58% decline in July, which was the sharpest drop since July 2023. It marked the highest wholesale inflation since April, primarily driven by a rebound in food prices and faster growth in manufacturing costs. Food prices rose 0.21% in August, sharply rebounding from their steepest drop since August 2015, when they fell 2.15%. The increase was led by higher prices for wheat (4.75%), milk (2.58%), and cereals (1.03%). Meanwhile, manufacturing inflation accelerated to 2.55% in August, up from 2.05% in July, marking the fastest growth in four months.

India Wholesale Prices Rise More than Expected

The euro was little-changed at $1.17 after Fitch downgraded France’s credit rating to A+ from AA-, its lowest on record. The agency cited political instability and rising debt as newly appointed Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu begins budget talks. Attention now shifts to a packed week of central bank meetings. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates by at least 25 basis points on Wednesday amid concerns over its independence, as officials weigh a cooling labor market against inflationary pressures from tariffs. The Bank of England and the Bank of Japan are widely expected to keep policy unchanged. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank last week signaled that its rate-cutting cycle may be over. President Christine Lagarde said growth risks are now more balanced, suggesting policymakers are shifting toward a steadier stance after months of easing.

Euro Hovers at $1.17 After France’s Credit Downgrade

Saudi Arabia’s annual inflation rate rose to 2.3% in August 2025 from 2.1% in July, slightly above expectations of 2.2%. Main upward pressure came from housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuels (5.8% vs 5.6% in July), mainly due to faster rent growth (7.6% vs 7.2%). Price growth also picked up for food and beverages (1.1% vs 1.0%) and restaurant and accommodation services (3.0% vs 2.8%), led by higher accommodation costs (4.7% vs 4.4%). Personal care, social protection, and other goods and services rose further (4.8% vs 4.5%), boosted by jewelry and watches (18% vs 17%). Transport inflation accelerated (1.2% vs 1.1%) on stronger passenger transport (5.3% vs 5.0%), while education services edged up (0.8% vs 0.5%). In contrast, inflation eased for furnishings and household equipment (-0.3% vs -0.2%) and for information and communication (-0.4% vs -0.3%). On a monthly basis, consumer prices increased by 0.1% in August, the same pace as in July.

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